Generational Dynamics: Forecasting America's Destiny Generational
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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

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Book home: Generational Dynamics for Historians
Read the current draft of the new book: Generational Dynamics for Historians

Generational Dynamics is an advanced breakthrough in Generational Theory, based on MIT's System Dynamics applied to the dynamics of historical generational changes. System Dynamics was developed at MIT in the 1960s by Jay Forrester, and this is by far the most significant application of System Dynamics that's ever been developed, because it's been so successful. Since 2003, this web site has posted thousands of articles containing hundreds of non-ideological predictions and analyses, and every prediction has turned out to be true or is trending true. None has been wrong. There is no news site (BBC, NY Times, etc.), web site, analyst, journalist or politician with anything close to the predictive and analytical success of Generational Dynamics and this web site.
To get started, read the Web Log, or read the award-winning 2009 paper (PDF):
"International business forecasting using System Dynamics with generational flows."




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Special feature articles on current events issues available on request. Media inquiries welcome.
About Generational Dynamics


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In-Depth Analysis
Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture, technology, economics and international finance, and with much better accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR FREE.

Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity by 2030 : How AI is rapidly changing our lives ( 28-Dec-2015 )
Obamacare's Healthcare.gov -- The greatest software development disaster in history : Corruption, fraud and criminality in Healthcare.gov and Obamacare (23-Aug-2015)
Dysfunction, subversion, sabotage and fraud in software development projects : Information for academic researchers and software development managers. (23-Aug-2015)
New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup : China is preparing for war over Taiwan. ( 28-Aug-2011 )
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud : What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible. ( 14-Apr-2010 )
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car : We're headed for an even larger financial crisis. ( 1-Feb-2010 )
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow : Housing prices still have very far to fall. (21-Dec-2009)
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology : The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce forecasts and predictions (3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec : In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the world war predicted by Generational Dynamics. (9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009 : How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're going in 2009. (5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus : The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I. (17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of Information Technology (IT) : Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with management's cookbook programming mentality. (1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics : Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational theory (22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics : Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between China and the West. (12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions : These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003, using the generational forecasting methodology. (27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves. : Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market, cities and towns should start planning immediately. (2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance : How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless mortgage-based securities. (23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World : How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in 2008-2009. (9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market. : And some additional speculations about stock market crashes. (20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq : This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts. (1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory : Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the 1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new "Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory. (25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but he has his history wrong : It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel. (19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war' : A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s. Here's some additional historical information. (7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to choose sides : The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more chaotic situation within a few months (25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash equilibrium" : Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last too much longer. (17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war? : Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics, while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre. (1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash : Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities. (31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake" in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast : His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza pullout is now likely to founder. (29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony : Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite what the pundits say. (29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply : Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit, the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast. (23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on suicide bombers. : Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars. (18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says the stock market is very overvalued : New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over any 20-year period are surprisingly constant. (11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average : Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to what's happening today. Updated 21-Apr-2017 (21-Apr-2017)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline of entire European Union project : Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear generational split that analysts aren't noticing. (1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears of destabilizing Asia : After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin. (14-May-2005)
Press Release: Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries : Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries. (22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to increase interest rates : This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through crisis periods (24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war : Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons. This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war. (10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers are without historical precedent : In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the last decade were wrong. (6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war : Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook case for a massive civil war in the making (16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas Carol" : Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational struggle (5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin : Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov Presidential election. (28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.: There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war. NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology. (20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring in the making.: In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the reasons why people voted for him. (3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are setting the stage for hostile reactions next year: Will "something big" happen to America in 2005? (24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush: However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs (23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?: Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry - will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two historical examples to predict scenarios. (16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve raises short term interest rates significantly: Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead. (21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing significantly: Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military actions to halt or even avenge terrorism (11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?: Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized' (24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the conflict between China and Taiwan: Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a conflict between China and Taiwan. (23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick genocide in Rwanda in 1994: Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding Africa's geography explains why. (22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears: There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther. (3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile to America: Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable. (26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the Democratic convention.: He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose he read my web site? (25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to streets in revolt in Gaza: Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war among Palestinian factions (19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent computers will soon be science fact.: When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that this changes everything? (9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions: More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high debt levels and stock valuations. (6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04: Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead to an inevitable war over Taiwan? (6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect: Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons why wars occur. (28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level throughout Mideast: The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan. (23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile: Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of increasingly high volatility. (17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised): They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence. (8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle: Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing massive protests. (11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?: Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was impossible. Despite the constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why. (09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike: Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to all-out war (21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected significance: The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11 attacks had on Americans. (15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy: A historical analysis of a potential crisis. (4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan: So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait. (2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution: The pendulum is swinging back. (27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa: Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger (08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war: Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of civilizations" between Islam and Christianity. (15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading inevitably to major regional war: Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing. (10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for Bush: It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars. (8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?: Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they SHOULD be saying. (26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?: Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy? Analysts say yes, but there are ominous generational signs of financial and social instability in China. (10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire: Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more fend off a large regional war? (21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire against terrorists: During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to shrink from more violence. (19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran: Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? Generational Dynamics says 'No.' (25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off: This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that the good news won't last. (04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?: Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the Mideast. (01-May-03)
France and Germany: Why are they becoming anti-American? (15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement: Will it gain traction? (15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea: Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war? (22-Jan-03)
Turkey: Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to? (24-Mar-03)
Japan: Is Japan's economy finally near collapse? (26-Mar-03)

Stock Market:

Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average

Will stocks rise or fall in 2004? (1-Jan-04)
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Copying Articles
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites, provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is included back to the article on this web site. - John J. Xenakis

State of the World
Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 19-Oct-2014
W. Europe 3 Mideast 4
Russia Caucasus 3 Kashmir 2
China 3 North Korea 2
Financial 3 Swine/Bird flu/Ebola 4
Key: 1=green 1=Low risk 2=yellow 2=Med 3=red 3=High 4=black 4=Active
Web Log
Web Log: Informal comments on current news and trends.

23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on 'Earth Day': Rural America and Working Class America... (23-Apr-2017)
22-Apr-17 World View -- Kashmiri students at two Indian colleges harassed and beaten: Indians seek solutions and blame intervention from Pakistan and China... (22-Apr-2017)
21-Apr-17 World View -- Cameroon's president finally caves in, restores internet to English speakers: With violence in Venezuela's streets continuing, Maduro confiscates GM factories... (21-Apr-2017)
20-Apr-17 World View -- EU officials increasingly fear a Marine Le Pen upset victory in France's elections: The threat to the 'European project'... (20-Apr-2017)
19-Apr-17 World View -- UN says lengthy Mosul operation leading to major humanitarian disaster: Iraq says that ISIS and al-Qaeda are in talks to join forces... (19-Apr-2017)
18-Apr-17 World View -- Worries grow that India is 'losing Kashmir,' as violence increases: Video of Kashmir man tied to jeep further inflames anti-India violence... (18-Apr-2017)
17-Apr-17 World View -- Sharply divided Turkey approves referendum giving Erdogan near-dictatorial powers: Turkey's referendum results will be closely scrutinized by Europe... (17-Apr-2017)
16-Apr-17 World View -- Deadly explosion in Syria targets buses carrying 5,000 al-Assad supporters: Evidence of Bashar al-Assad's war crimes and atrocities continues to grow... (16-Apr-2017)
15-Apr-17 World View -- US sends dozens of troops to Somalia, first time since Black Hawk Down: Somalia's civil war and the Black Hawk Down incident... (15-Apr-2017)
14-Apr-17 World View -- North Korea's neighbors tense as the 'Day of the Sun' approaches on Saturday: China's tripwires for invading North Korea... (14-Apr-2017)
13-Apr-17 World View -- Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad defies Supreme Leader and runs for president: Ahmadinejad waits for the appearance of the Mahdi... (13-Apr-2017)
12-Apr-17 World View -- Migrant camp in northern France housing 1,600 people burnt to the ground: The Le Touquet treaty, which moves Britain's border into France, will be reconsidered... (12-Apr-2017)
11-Apr-17 World View -- India forced to delay Kashmir elections after large surge in violence: Why is a US carrier group strike force going to the Korean peninsula?... (11-Apr-2017)
10-Apr-17 World View -- US aircraft carrier strike force heads for Korean peninsula: Egypt in 3-month state of emergency after Coptic church bombings... (10-Apr-2017)
9-Apr-17 World View -- Russia's policies thrown into confusion as US resumes its 'world policeman' role: Shock and euphoria follow the missile strike on Syria... (9-Apr-2017)
8-Apr-17 World View -- Japan to repopulate 148 remote islands, as confrontation with China looms: Taiwan and Japan try to settle their disputes peacefully... (8-Apr-2017)
7-Apr-17 World View -- Philippines president Duterte orders military to occupy South China Sea islands: President Trump orders missile strikes on Bashar al-Assad's Syria... (7-Apr-2017)
6-Apr-17 World View -- President Trump plans military action on Syria after horrific nerve gas attack on civilians: John McCain and Lindsey Graham advocate cruise missiles and safe areas... (6-Apr-2017)
5-Apr-17 World View -- With Venezuela's Socialism spiraling into chaos, NY Times blames the mess on 'populism': Organization of American States (OAS) approves scathing condemnation of Venezuela ... (5-Apr-2017)
4-Apr-17 World View -- St. Petersburg, Russia, train explosion may be blowback from Syria military intervention: Explosion in St. Petersburg subway kills 11, injures dozens... (4-Apr-2017)
3-Apr-17 World View -- Dalai Lama to visit region of northeast India claimed by China: Dalai Lama's escape from Tibet to India in 1959 Lhasa uprising still humiliates China... (3-Apr-2017)
2-Apr-17 World View -- Paraguay wracked by worst violent riots in decades over constitutional crisis: Brief generational history of Paraguay... (2-Apr-2017)
1-Apr-17 World View -- India-Pakistan clash threatened as Kashmir violence surges again: Violence in India-controlled Kashmir takes a new turn after winter lull... (1-Apr-2017)
31-Mar-17 World View -- Brexit: The die is cast, and the EU is playing hardball: Northern Ireland considers reuniting with the Republic of Ireland... (31-Mar-2017)
30-Mar-17 World View -- With Arab world in chaos, Arab League summit displays lack of leadership and influence: Arab League plays it safe by only condemning Israel and terrorism... (30-Mar-2017)
29-Mar-17 World View -- Asians in Paris, France, riot for two nights after police kill Chinese man: French-Chinese xenophobia appears to be growing in Paris... (29-Mar-2017)
28-Mar-17 World View -- Bangladesh recovers from a four-day terror attack in Sylhet: ISIS claims credit for Sylhet Bangladesh terror attack... (28-Mar-2017)
27-Mar-17 World View -- Thousands are arrested in Russia as tens of thousands protest in cities across country: Massive protests were triggered by opposition leader Alexei Navalny's anti-corruption drive... (27-Mar-2017)
26-Mar-17 World View -- Iraq halts Mosul operation after US coalition airstrikes kill hundreds of civilians: Iraq halts the Mosul operation under international pressure... (26-Mar-2017)
25-Mar-17 World View -- US resettlement of refugees from Australia's detention centers is about to begin: Analysts skeptical of ISIS claiming responsibility for London terror attack... (25-Mar-2017)
24-Mar-17 World View -- With Egypt's contraceptive shortage, Cairo becomes the world's fastest growing city: Shortage of contraceptives and culture of large families spur Egypt's population growth... (24-Mar-2017)
23-Mar-17 World View -- Massive China-Pakistan CPEC energy project said to end energy crisis 'soon': Skeptics claim that CPEC will only benefit China, not Pakistan... (23-Mar-2017)
22-Mar-17 World View -- Concerns grow over chaos in Iraq after ISIS is defeated in Mosul: UN's humanitarian agencies overwhelmed as hundreds of thousands flee Mosul... (22-Mar-2017)
21-Mar-17 World View -- Pope Francis apologizes for Catholic Church's role in 1994 Rwanda genocide: A century of genocides... (21-Mar-2017)
20-Mar-17 World View -- Venezuela's Socialist government arrests bakers because of bread shortage: Suspicions grow that Kim Jong-nam's Malaysia assassination was not with VX nerve gas... (20-Mar-2017)
19-Mar-17 World View -- Israel and Syria have unprecedented missile clash over Jordan: Jordan has to live with increasing threats from Syria and Israel... (19-Mar-2017)
18-Mar-17 World View -- Taiwan says it must defend against increasingly threatening China: China begins construction on Philippines' Scarborough Shoal... (18-Mar-2017)
17-Mar-17 World View -- Russia denies reports of Russian special forces in eastern Libya: Russian intervention comes as fighting between Libya's militias increases... (17-Mar-2017)
16-Mar-17 World View -- Terrorist bombings in Damascus, airstrikes in Idlib, break Syria's ceasefire: Syria's Bashar al-Assad says that the Americans are invaders... (16-Mar-2017)
15-Mar-17 World View -- Bahrain postpones trial of Shia cleric after threats from Iran: Iran - Saudi Arabia relations continue to deteriorate... (15-Mar-2017)
14-Mar-17 World View -- Japan's largest warship will train with US Navy in the South China Sea: A sad picture... (14-Mar-2017)
13-Mar-17 World View -- Al-Nusra descendant claims credit for massive terror attack in Damascus, Syria: Al-Nusra becomes Levant Liberation Committee (LLC) and gains at expense of ISIS... (13-Mar-2017)
12-Mar-17 World View -- Netherlands provokes growing crisis with Turkey by blocking ministers' entry: The escalating crisis once again throws EU-Turkey migrant deal into doubt... (12-Mar-2017)
11-Mar-17 World View -- US military commitments grow in Afghanistan and Syria: Report: Trump administration shuts out Russia and Turkey in Syria... (11-Mar-2017)
10-Mar-17 World View -- As more American troops are deployed to Syria, the endgame is more uncertain: Hundreds of American troops deployed to Syria in support of local forces... (10-Mar-2017)
9-Mar-17 World View -- Thousands flee from Myanmar into China to escape army clashes with ethnic militias: Myanmar faces an investigation for ethnic cleansing of Rohingya Muslims... (9-Mar-2017)
8-Mar-17 World View -- Tensions grow on Korean peninsula over THAAD and N. Norea-Malaysia relations: China promises retaliation over surprise deployment of THAAD in South Korea... (8-Mar-2017)
7-Mar-17 World View -- Herders invade ranches in Kenya, ambush and kill British ranch owner: The ranchers (farmers) versus the pastoralists (herders)... (7-Mar-2017)
6-Mar-17 World View -- China's South China Sea policy related to food security in times of war: Vietnam protests China's fishing ban in the South China Sea... (6-Mar-2017)
5-Mar-17 World View -- Malaysia expels North Korean ambassador as relations deteriorate: Kim Han-sol, son of Kim Jong-nam, under guard to prevent North Korean assassination... (5-Mar-2017)
4-Mar-17 World View -- Champagne corks pop as a 'Trump rally' sends Wall Street stocks parabolic: The velocity of money keeps plummeting, indicating no economic growth... (4-Mar-2017)
3-Mar-17 World View -- Australia pays refugees cash to return home, as U.S. resettlement deal falters: Australia and Germany paying asylum seekers cash to return home... (3-Mar-2017)
2-Mar-17 World View -- European leaders debate how the European Union can survive after Brexit: European nations split on the future of Europe... (2-Mar-2017)
1-Mar-17 World View -- Central African Republic war morphs from religious to ethnic war: United Nations peacekeeping force MINUSCA uses airstrikes to stop bloodbath in Bambari... (1-Mar-2017)
28-Feb-17 World View -- ISIS forces hundreds of Christians to flee Egypt's North Sinai: ISIS-linked Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis in Sinai continues to confound Egypt's army... (28-Feb-2017)
27-Feb-17 World View -- Xenophobic violence against migrants returns to South Africa: South Africa threatens to crack down on businesses hiring illegal immigrants... (27-Feb-2017)
26-Feb-17 World View -- Syria's so-called ceasefire collapses after terrorist bombings in Homs: Terrorist bombings in Homs Syria trigger retaliation by al-Assad regime... (26-Feb-2017)
25-Feb-17 World View -- Border Adjustment Tax versus the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Law: Washington tax reform plans may include a 'Border Adjustment Tax'... (25-Feb-2017)
24-Feb-17 World View -- Malaysia - N. Korea relations turn toxic over assassination of Kim Jong-un's half brother: BBC reporter Mike Embley is completely full of crap... (24-Feb-2017)
23-Feb-17 World View -- China preparing to install long-range missiles in South China Sea: China's ASEAN neighbors express increasing anxiety over China's illegal militarization... (23-Feb-2017)
22-Feb-17 World View -- China clamps down on Uighurs in Xinjiang province: China commands Xinjiang Uighurs to install tracking devices in all cars... (22-Feb-2017)
21-Feb-17 World View -- Pakistan artillery pounds terrorist 'safe havens' in Afghanistan: Pakistan blames Afghanistan after a week of multiple terror attacks... (21-Feb-2017)
20-Feb-17 World View -- US-backed Iraqi army launches major new offensive in western Mosul: US aircraft carrier renews challenge to China in the South China Sea... (20-Feb-2017)
19-Feb-17 World View -- China announces it will block imports of North Korea's coal: Assassination of Kim Jong-un's half-brother in Malaysia threatens relations with China and North Korea... (19-Feb-2017)
18-Feb-17 World View -- Britain's Tony Blair calls for the people 'to rise up' and reverse Brexit: Ireland demands a 'soft border,' while Scotland contemplates independence... (18-Feb-2017)
17-Feb-17 World View -- Pakistan promises to avenge 'each drop of blood' after multiple terror attacks: Pakistan again in shock as Sufi shrine bombing is fifth terror attack in a week... (17-Feb-2017)
16-Feb-17 World View -- Obamacare and Britain's NHS continue in financial 'death spiral': Obamacare follows Nixon's wage-price controls in financial 'death spiral'... (16-Feb-2017)
15-Feb-17 World View -- Cameroon shuts down internet for English-speakers protesting French-speakers: Brief generational history of Cameroon... (15-Feb-2017)
14-Feb-17 World View -- America's likely response to N. Korean test: THAAD, Aegis missile defense systems: China's foreign policy becomes complicated by North Korean test... (14-Feb-2017)
13-Feb-17 World View -- After Syria's so-called ceasefire, tensions grow over the future of Bashar al-Assad: Hezbollah keeps on fighting, but says it will honor Syria ceasefire... (13-Feb-2017)
12-Feb-17 World View -- Iraq: Supporters of al-Sadr and al-Maliki turn again to violence in Baghdad: Iraq's army poised to begin Battle of Mosul in the west... (12-Feb-2017)
11-Feb-17 World View -- Grexit risk: Greece may refuse a new round of austerity: Greece will evacuate 75,000 people in Thessaloniki to defuse WW II bomb... (11-Feb-2017)
10-Feb-17 World View -- Kenya's High Court blocks attempt to close Dadaab refugee camp: Closure of Dadaab demanded after 2015 Garissa University attack in Kenya... (10-Feb-2017)
9-Feb-17 World View -- Mainstream media frets over Steve Bannon, the Fourth Turning, and Donald Trump: China-Philippines détente unravels over Scarborough Shoal... (9-Feb-2017)
8-Feb-17 World View -- Investigation reveals depraved new atrocities by Syria's Bashar al-Assad: Epicenter of Syrian conflict moves from Aleppo to Idlib and al-Bab... (8-Feb-2017)
7-Feb-17 World View -- Tensions rise between China and Trump administration: China sails warships near Japan's Senkaku Islands... (7-Feb-2017)
6-Feb-17 World View -- Trump will honor Australia refugee deal, despite calling it 'worst deal ever': Australian politics in turmoil over refugee deal... (6-Feb-2017)
5-Feb-17 World View -- Egypt accused of 'dirty deal' to sabotage an Ethiopian dam project: Egypt's air force accused of bombing rebel targets in South Sudan... (5-Feb-2017)
4-Feb-17 World View -- Devastating UN report on Burma shows scale of ghastly atrocities by Buddhists targeting Muslim Rohingyas: Generational Dynamics interpretation of Burma (Myanmar) atrocities... (4-Feb-2017)
3-Feb-17 World View -- Hundreds of thousands of people protest left-wing corruption in Romania: Massive Romanian protests linked to 1989 ouster of violent dictator... (3-Feb-2017)
2-Feb-17 World View -- Israel expels residents of Amona West Bank settlement, testing rule of law in Israel: Israel approves large settlement -- first new settlement in West Bank in decades... (2-Feb-2017)
1-Feb-17 World View -- New fighting between Ukraine and Russia flares up in eastern Ukraine: Thousands of US troops in Poland conduct joint drills with Polish troops... (1-Feb-2017)
31-Jan-17 World View -- US will upgrade Philippines military bases, despite Duterte's threats: Philippines war on drugs in chaos after murder of S. Korean businessman... (31-Jan-2017)
30-Jan-17 World View -- Ethnic cleansing of Myanmar's Rohingyas threatens regional stability: Trying to keep up in a world in a state of hysteria... (30-Jan-2017)
29-Jan-17 World View -- Protests grow over Trump's executive order to restrict immigration: Iran promises retaliation against Americans... (29-Jan-2017)
28-Jan-17 World View -- Furious Turkey threatens migrant deal over Greece's failure to extradite: Desperate EU officials still try to shut down Mediterranean migration route... (28-Jan-2017)
27-Jan-17 World View -- China places missiles on Russia's border -- to gain respect and attack America: Centuries-old Russia-China border dispute could lead to another war... (27-Jan-2017)
26-Jan-17 World View -- Dow surges past 20,000, further expanding dangerous Wall Street bubble: China desperately imposes controls on capital outflows... (26-Jan-2017)
25-Jan-17 World View -- Russia, Iran, Turkey sign farcical Syria peace agreement: Syria peace conference sees a return to 'proximity talks'... (25-Jan-2017)
24-Jan-17 World View -- Russia will build major naval base in Tartus Syria: Trump may permit US military cooperation with Russia in Syria... (24-Jan-2017)
23-Jan-17 World View -- Explosive Israeli policy decisions reportedly put on hold at Trump's request: Israel prepares for the Palestinian 'Oslo Generation'... (23-Jan-2017)
22-Jan-17 World View -- India begins deploying its 'Cold Start' military strategy against Pakistan: Russia and India declare their love for each other... (22-Jan-2017)
21-Jan-17 World View -- President Trump's inauguration speech links today's America to the 1930s: The Gambia's leader steps down, after his army chief deserts him... (21-Jan-2017)
20-Jan-17 World View -- Senegal's troops enter The Gambia to force the ruler to step down: Why you have to say 'The Gambia', rather than just 'Gambia'... (20-Jan-2017)
19-Jan-17 World View -- European anger and British self-delusion follow Brexit plan speech: Brexit becomes more real after Theresa May's speech... (19-Jan-2017)
18-Jan-17 World View -- The Gambia's leader, refusing to step down, declares state of emergency: Burundi's leader, refusing to step down, withdraws peacekeeping troops fighting al-Shabaab in Somalia... (18-Jan-2017)
17-Jan-17 World View -- European leaders shocked and surprised at Trump's foreign policy comments: China threatens to 'take off the gloves' with Donald Trump... (17-Jan-2017)
16-Jan-17 World View -- With Libya in chaos, migrant deal with Italy collapses: Over 100 migrants drown in Mediterranean after their dinghy sinks... (16-Jan-2017)
15-Jan-17 World View -- Poland welcomes biggest deployment of American tanks and troops in decades: US troop deployment in Poland angers Russia... (15-Jan-2017)
14-Jan-17 World View -- Syria says that Israel bombed al-Mazzeh military airport near Damascus: Israel's motive was probably to prevent weapons from reaching Hezbollah... (14-Jan-2017)
13-Jan-17 World View -- Peace conference to reunite Cyprus adjourns without a deal: History of Cyprus suggests that there is little hope for permanent reunification... (13-Jan-2017)
12-Jan-17 World View -- Pakistan: Four secular anti-military activists vanish over the weekend: Pakistan's army accused of dumping over 1,000 bodies in Balochistan... (12-Jan-2017)
11-Jan-17 World View -- China threatens Trump with 'revenge' over one-China policy: Taiwan president Tsai Ing-Wen meets with Senator Cruz in Texas... (11-Jan-2017)
10-Jan-17 World View -- Thousands of migrants trapped in deep freeze temperatures in Greece and Balkans: European Commission resettlement plan appears to be a disaster... (10-Jan-2017)
9-Jan-17 World View -- Iran's 'moderate pragmatist' Hashemi Rafsanjani dies at age 82: Is Rafsanjani's death a victory for Iran's hardliners?... (9-Jan-2017)
8-Jan-17 World View -- Violent protests in Sri Lanka over China's takeover of Hambantota seaport: Britain's hospitals run out of beds as Red Cross declares NHS in 'humanitarian crisis'... (8-Jan-2017)
7-Jan-17 World View -- The Gambia's president prepares for war with Senegal on January 19: Congo's president Joseph Kabila refuses to step down after losing election... (7-Jan-2017)
6-Jan-17 World View -- New armed militia emerges in Central African Republic: Return, Reclamation, Rehabilitation (3R): Central African Republic crisis war continues to spin out of control... (6-Jan-2017)
5-Jan-17 World View -- Israel polarized over conviction of soldier for manslaughter: Comparison to Pakistan murder of Salman Taseer... (5-Jan-2017)
4-Jan-17 World View -- Pakistan's bizarre blasphemy laws lead to death threats for son of slain governor: Pakistan's Imran Khan forced to apologize after being accused of blasphemy... (4-Jan-2017)
3-Jan-17 World View -- Syrian opposition groups suspend negotiations of peace talks: Video emerges from Burma (Myanmar) showing police beating Rohingya Muslims... (3-Jan-2017)
2-Jan-17 World View -- Istanbul Turkey New Year's terror attack compared to Paris and Orlando attacks: Terror attacks expose deep divisions in Turkey's society... (2-Jan-2017)
1-Jan-17 World View -- Taiwan's president responds to military threats from China: Did Taiwan's president say that Taiwan is 'an independent, sovereign country'?... (1-Jan-2017)

Web Log Pages

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Web Log Summary - 2004

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General
June 4, 2011, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts. Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass. Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews: Reviews of books on current events and history
About: About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment: Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic: Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive: Archived items removed from the site home page.
International Investment Advisories
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!: Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech pharmaceuticals to Spiderman. (5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments: For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size. (7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride: Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil" doesn't help investors. (8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index: A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Credits
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.





Copyright © 2002-2017 by John J. Xenakis.